| |
|
Strategic
objective |
|
Key risk |
|
Probable effects |
|
Severity
of risk |
|
Stakeholder |
|
Strategic response/mitigation |
|
Key performance indicator |
 |
 |
 |
 |
 |
 |
 |
 |
 |
 |
 |
 |
 |
 |
 |
 |
|
Focus on
sustainable
income growth |
|
Low GDP growth impacts business growth in
South Africa |
|
 |
Slower retail sales growth affects retailers’
financial positions and ability to pay rent |
|
|
High |
|
 |
Providers of capital (debt and equity investors and financial institutions) |
 |
Tenants |
 |
Mall customers |
|
|
 |
Facilitate strong trading environments by developing shopping
destinations of choice, offering an attractive tenant mix with
exciting brands and flagship stores in a safe, clean and friendly
environment |
|
|
Arrears, trading densities, rent affordability |
| |
|
Slowdown in consumer spend affecting
retailers’ trading densities and rent ratios |
|
 |
Small line stores under pressure |
 |
Leases not renewed |
 |
Discounted rentals to retain tenants |
 |
Lower distributable income |
|
|
High |
|
 |
Tenants |
 |
Providers of capital (debt and equity investors, financial institutions) |
 |
Mall customers |
|
|
 |
Hyprop malls are well established, in dominant locations and
often attract flagship stores |
 |
Contractual lease income with financially sound tenants (most
tenants are reputable national companies with strong balance
sheets and proven business models) |
 |
Increase shopper time spent in malls, through initiatives such as
wi-fi and active marketing and social media strategies |
 |
Provide geographic diversification (eg sub-Saharan expansion) |
|
|
Arrears, trading densities, rent affordability |
| |
|
Potential increase in interest rates |
|
 |
Increased borrowing costs result in reduced
distributable income |
|
|
Low |
|
 |
Providers of capital (debt and equity investors and financial institutions) |
|
|
 |
Increased borrowing costs result in reduced distributable income |
 |
94,5% of debt fixed for 5,2 years, and staggered fixed interest rate |
 |
Proactive management of interest-bearing borrowings |
|
|
Maturity profile, cost of funding |
| |
|
Downgrading of sovereign credit rating |
|
 |
Growth and national/global competitiveness at risk |
 |
Reduced foreign direct investment |
 |
Increased borrowing costs |
|
|
Medium |
|
 |
Providers of capital (debt and equity investors and financial institutions) |
|
|
 |
Provide economic and geographic diversification through sub-Saharan investments |
 |
High ratio of fixed debt |
 |
Introduction of unsecured debt in the form of debt capital market funding (DCM) |
|
|
Distribution growth |
 |
|
Focus on
sustainable
income growth |
|
Increased supply of retail space in the market |
|
 |
Discounted rentals to retain tenants |
 |
Tenants become more demanding on leasing terms |
 |
Increased vacancies |
 |
Leases not renewed |
 |
Increased pressure on renewal terms |
 |
Lower rental growth |
|
|
High |
|
 |
Tenants |
 |
Providers of capital (debt and equity investors, financial institutions) |
 |
Mall customers |
|
|
 |
Meet tenant demand through extensions and tenant relocations |
 |
Demand for space in Hyprop centres continues to outstrip
supply, resulting in a strong pipeline of prospective tenants |
 |
The executive committee meets monthly to discuss
operational performance |
|
|
Leasing activity, rental growth,
contractual escalations, workload
(percentage of total leases
expiring in one financial year) |
| |
|
Tenants more cautious on renewals and new lettings |
|
 |
Inability to renew leases or retain tenants means
increased vacancies and prolonged periods of
vacant space in shopping centres |
|
|
Medium |
|
 |
Tenants |
 |
Providers of capital (debt and equity investors, financial institutions) |
 |
Mall customers |
|
|
 |
Close engagement with tenants throughout their tenure |
|
|
Workload |
| |
|
Tenants taking less space and slower extension plans |
|
 |
Negative impact on budgets |
|
|
Medium |
|
|
 |
Stagger major lease expiries |
|
|
| |
|
Significant volume of leases expiring in any one period |
|
 |
Negative rent reversion |
|
|
Medium |
|
|
 |
Proactively manage lease expiries |
|
|
| |
|
Lease renewals and tenant retention |
|
 |
Discounted rentals to retain tenants |
|
|
Medium |
|
|
 |
Ensure a strong pipeline of prospective tenants |
|
|
| |
|
Restrictive clauses in leases |
|
 |
Discounted rentals to retain tenants |
|
|
Medium |
|
|
 |
Monthly lease expiry and related workload reports to executive committee |
|
|
 |
|
Continuous
portfolio
improvement |
|
Dilutionary acquisitions, developments and
disposals |
|
 |
Lower growth in distributions |
|
|
Medium |
|
 |
Providers of capital (debt and equity investors, financial institutions) |
|
|
 |
Regular review of strategy against macro-economic environment, operating landscape, returns and risk tolerance |
 |
Disposal of non-core assets |
|
|
Approved investments and
disposals with long-term growth
objective |
| |
Capital budget exceeded for development/redevelopment |
|
 |
Project yield compromised |
 |
Inefficient capital allocation |
|
|
Medium |
|
|
 |
Monthly monitoring of capital expenditure |
 |
Detailed analysis and research prior to approval |
|
|
| |
Ineffective progress monitoring for
development/redevelopment |
|
 |
Project end date being compromised, escalating
project costs and the yield being compromised. |
|
|
Medium |
|
|
 |
Meet pre-letting requirements |
 |
Ongoing review of design and monitoring of construction by development and centre management and the project professional team |
|
|
 |
|
Attracting and retaining the best people |
|
Current BEE level of 6 |
|
 |
Major tenants prefer landlord to have reasonable BEE rating |
 |
Potential impact on corporate activity in SA |
 |
Potential for regulatory penalties |
|
|
High |
|
 |
Providers of capital (debt and equity investors, financial institutions) |
 |
Employees |
 |
Suppliers |
 |
Tenants |
|
|
 |
Identified as a strategic imperative. Plan in place to achieve incremental and sustainable improvements |
|
|
Independent BEE rating |
| |
|
Negative impact of the new codes |
|
|
|
|
|
| |
|
Transformation required in ownership, directors and senior management |
|
|
|
|
|
 |
|
Operating an environmentally sustainable business |
|
Potential introduction of carbon tax
in 2016 |
|
 |
Increased operational costs |
|
|
High |
|
 |
Tenants |
 |
Community |
 |
Employees |
 |
Suppliers |
|
|
 |
Environmental, social and governance (ESG) strategy document serves to provides context and guidelines for implementation |
|
|
Improved energy efficiency |
| |
|
Failure to meet primary targets (for energy,
water, recycling and carbon consumption) |
|
 |
Possible reputational damage with the investment community |
|
|
 |
|
Providing the highest level of service to our tenants |
|
Increased cost of occupancy due to electricity
price increases |
|
 |
Unable to recover tenants’ portion of
consumption means lower distributable income |
|
|
High |
|
 |
Mall customers |
 |
Tenants |
 |
Municipal authorities |
|
|
 |
Numerous projects under way to reduce consumption |
|
|
Cost of occupancy – electricity consumption |
| |
|
Negative impact of disruptive electricity
supply on the economy and at Hyprop malls |
|
 |
Lower rentals to retain certain tenants |
 |
Prolonged periods of power outages resulting in
sub-optimal trading condition |
|
|
|
|
 |
Successful objection to incorrect valuations |
 |
1 500kWp, solar photovoltaic plant at Clearwater Mall |
|
|
| |
|
Increase in capital cost to provide more
generators |
|
 |
Increased electricity and diesel costs |
|
|
|
|
 |
Introducing smart metering |
 |
Energy-saving and similar initiatives |
|
|
 |
|
Providing the
highest level
of service to
our tenants |
|
Increased cost of occupancy from rates, taxes
and utilities |
|
 |
Cost and supply of electricity and water |
 |
Excessive increase in cost of occupancy impacting
recoveries and renewals |
|
|
Medium |
|
 |
Tenants |
 |
Mall customers |
 |
Providers of capital (debt and equity
investors, financial institutions) |
|
|
 |
Numerous projects under way to reduce consumption |
 |
Tenants guided by tenant criteria document, with guidelines on reducing electricity consumption |
 |
Introducing smart metering |
|
|
Cost of occupancy – water, rates
and electricity consumption |
| |
|
Deterioration of municipal administration and
service delivery |
|
 |
Incorrect utility billings |
 |
Delays in transfer of acquisitions and disposals |
 |
Inadequate services provided |
 |
Billing errors |
 |
Excessive lead times for town planning approval |
|
|
High |
|
 |
Tenants |
 |
Providers of capital (debt and equity
investors, financial institutions) |
 |
Mall customers |
|
|
 |
Working closely with professional consultants to optimise local
authority approval processes and to minimise negative impact
of billing errors |
|
|
Town council approvals received,
utilities recovered |
 |
|
Providing the
highest level
of service to
our tenants |
|
Increased levels of crime at shopping centres |
|
 |
Hyprop forced to spend more capital on security
equipment |
 |
Crime, robberies, theft, etc at shopping malls |
 |
Negative impact on footfall |
 |
Reputational damage for Hyprop and for its malls |
|
|
High |
|
 |
Mall customers |
 |
Tenants |
 |
Community |
|
|
 |
Improve quality of service provider and security equipment |
 |
Better engagement between shopping centre staff, service
provider, community and local police |
|
|
Improvement in crime statistics
at shopping malls |
 |
|
Increase
portfolio and
geographic
diversification |
|
Weakening of currencies placing local tenants
under pressure |
|
 |
Unable to repatriate funds due to illiquid currency markets or capital restrictions |
 |
Reduced distributable income |
 |
Excessive volatility in exchange rates |
|
|
High |
|
 |
Tenants |
 |
Mall customers |
 |
Providers of capital (debt and equity
investors, financial institutions) |
|
|
 |
Matching debt with income (USD) |
 |
Consider hedging exposure in terms of material dividends
received |
|
|
Size of dividend (current
percentage of income) |
| |
|
Slowdown in consumer spend |
|
 |
Small line stores under pressure |
 |
Leases not renewed |
|
|
High |
|
 |
Tenants |
 |
Mall customers |
 |
Providers of capital (debt and equity
investors, financial institutions) |
|
|
 |
Hyprop malls are well established, in dominant locations and
often attract flagship stores |
 |
Strong lease agreements with financially sound tenants (most
tenants are reputable national companies with strong balance
sheets and proven business models) |
|
|
Arrears, trading densities, rent
affordability |